It is only when we are certain that we get into big trouble.
When we are certain about our decisions, we are the most at risk. Stupid wicked problems cannot be addressed with certainty. Certainty makes us bet the house, to charge ahead, to ignore warnings, or not even look.
No matter what, there are stupid unpredictable people in this world and the dangerous people in the world are smart and certain. That is why we cannot accurately predict the future. We cannot predict stupid!
We Don't Know We Know
In a world of speed-up and change, the future becomes more important than the past. A question such as "why?" takes our thinking backwards, as opposed to what's next?" which moves us forward. Wayne Gretsky is famous for saying the reason he plays hockey so well is that while most people are going to where the puck is, he goes to where the puck is going to be.
We Know We Don't Know
“It is by logic that we prove. It is by intuition that we discover. Discovery consists of seeing what everyone has seen and thinking what nobody has thought. Planning can never be a wholly acceptable substitute for discovery and learning.”
We Know We Know
We Don’t Know We Don’t Know
Awareness begins with an open mind we do not know what we do not know. All change begins with an anomaly, a deviation from the standard. An anomaly is something different, abnormal, and peculiar. Change begins with an aberration, an abnormality, an exception, an oddity, a rare event. When we have two anomalies this creates in law what we call circumstantial evidence. At this point, we need to do a deep dive into the evidence to develop an insight into the evidence before us.
We Don’t Know We Don’t Know
Awareness begins with an open mind we do not know what we do not know. All change begins with an anomaly, a deviation from the standard. An anomaly is something different, abnormal, and peculiar. Change begins with an aberration, an abnormality, an exception, an oddity, a rare event. When we have two anomalies this creates in law what we call circumstantial evidence. At this point, we need to do a deep dive into the evidence to develop an insight into the evidence before us.
We Don't Know We Know
In a world of speed-up and change, the future becomes more important than the past. A question such as "why?" takes our thinking backwards, as opposed to what's next?" which moves us forward. Wayne Gretsky is famous for saying the reason he plays hockey so well is that while most people are going to where the puck is, he goes to where the puck is going to be.
We Know We Don't Know
“It is by logic that we prove. It is by intuition that we discover. Discovery consists of seeing what everyone has seen and thinking what nobody has thought. Planning can never be a wholly acceptable substitute for discovery and learning.”
We Know We Know
Principles of Dynamic Decision Taking
Complexity
Awareness
Insight
Inference
Decisions
Review
Understanding the Consequences of Your Actions
When we are certain about our decisions, we are most vulnerable to risk. Everyone should always keep in mind that stupid, wicked problems cannot be addressed with certainty. This concept makes us bet the house and charge ahead consequences be damned. Certainty is your enemy as it makes you ignore warnings until it’s too late.
Remember Stupid Is Everywhere
Aside from stupid, unpredictable people, you will encounter dangerous people who are both smart and certain. This is why it’s impossible to anticipate future events accurately because you cannot predict stupid!
The information contained on this site is “ADVERTISEMENT ONLY” and should not be applied to specific legal problems without first consulting an attorney.
